Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.410232 0.534290 0.669488 0.825683 0.999277 1.184646 1.395990
2025-03-23 0.240172 0.402343 0.599525 0.846415 1.138626 1.466429 1.855618
2025-03-30 0.151503 0.321415 0.548024 0.848819 1.219727 1.648316 2.168916
2025-04-06 0.085857 0.248359 0.489850 0.829998 1.265746 1.782503 2.422347
2025-04-13 0.058299 0.221796 0.486223 0.874175 1.383432 1.997007 2.765383
2025-04-20 0.038860 0.200738 0.485417 0.918487 1.498759 2.206974 3.101908
2025-04-27 0.026070 0.186447 0.491406 0.969726 1.621320 2.424674 3.446920
2025-05-04 0.020548 0.186913 0.519905 1.051978 1.783872 2.691511 3.851042
2025-05-11 0.012803 0.175143 0.525723 1.100382 1.901176 2.901903 4.186964
2025-05-18 0.004973 0.151712 0.507450 1.111265 1.967145 3.047306 4.443478
2025-05-25 0.000029 0.109665 0.446435 1.053032 1.936631 3.068976 4.547272
2025-06-01 NaN 0.074015 0.386832 0.990393 1.895550 3.073902 4.627743
2025-06-08 NaN 0.051121 0.348307 0.960516 1.902383 3.144915 4.797018
2025-06-15 NaN 0.042180 0.341697 0.983221 1.984363 3.314664 5.091336
2025-06-22 NaN 0.031318 0.324673 0.985753 2.035768 3.443270 5.333062
2025-06-29 NaN 0.019449 0.296406 0.965394 2.052128 3.524751 5.514885
2025-07-06 NaN 0.017928 0.305607 1.013193 2.169063 3.739522 5.865209
2025-07-13 NaN 0.016567 0.314884 1.061060 2.286167 3.954677 6.216274
2025-07-20 NaN 0.016113 0.328054 1.116308 2.414437 4.184915 6.586741
2025-07-27 NaN 0.019262 0.358618 1.204792 2.592776 4.482280 7.042762
2025-08-03 NaN 0.018387 0.369943 1.256755 2.716440 4.706778 7.406482
2025-08-10 NaN 0.013677 0.360417 1.268429 2.779340 4.849957 7.666894
2025-08-17 NaN 0.004939 0.314396 1.205924 2.728199 4.838968 7.730122